Stone Harbor Emerging Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SHCDX Fund  USD 8.15  0.01  0.12%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0273, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Stone Harbor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Stone Harbor is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Stone Harbor Emerging are ranked lower than 29 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Stone Harbor is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Stone Harbor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  795.00  in Stone Harbor Emerging on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20.00  from holding Stone Harbor Emerging or generate 2.52% return on investment over 90 days. Stone Harbor Emerging is currently producing 0.0415% returns and takes up 0.1131% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Stone, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stone Harbor is expected to generate 1.9 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 6.64 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.37 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Stone Harbor Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
8.15
Please note that Stone Harbor's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Stone Harbor Emerging has a current Real Value of $8.13 per share. The regular price of the fund is $8.15. We determine the value of Stone Harbor Emerging from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Stone Harbor is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Stone Mutual Fund. However, Stone Harbor's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.15 Real  8.13 Hype  8.15 Naive  8.16
The intrinsic value of Stone Harbor's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Stone Harbor's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.13
Real Value
8.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Stone Harbor Emerging helps investors to forecast how Stone mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Stone Harbor more accurately as focusing exclusively on Stone Harbor's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.258.148.19
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.048.158.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.048.168.27
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Stone Harbor Emerging extending back to June 01, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Stone Harbor stands at 8.15, as last reported on the 27th of February, with the highest price reaching 8.15 and the lowest price hitting 8.15 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Stone Harbor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Stone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.15 90 days 8.15 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stone Harbor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Stone Harbor Emerging probability density function shows the probability of Stone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stone Harbor Emerging has a beta of -0.0273. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Stone Harbor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Stone Harbor Emerging is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Stone Harbor Emerging has an alpha of 0.0327, implying that it can generate a 0.0327 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Stone Harbor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stone Harbor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stone Harbor Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stone Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.048.158.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.028.138.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.048.168.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.258.148.19
Details

Stone Harbor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stone Harbor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stone Harbor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stone Harbor Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stone Harbor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.76

Stone Harbor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stone Harbor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stone Harbor Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 93.33% of its assets in bonds

Stone Harbor Fundamentals Growth

Stone Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Stone Harbor, and Stone Harbor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Stone Mutual Fund performance.

About Stone Harbor Performance

Evaluating Stone Harbor's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Stone Harbor has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Stone Harbor has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in Emerging Markets Corporate Debt Investments. It may invest in securities of any credit rating and may invest without limit in higher risk, below-investment grade debt securities, commonly referred to as high yield securities or junk bonds. The Adviser normally maintains an average portfolio duration of between 2 and 7 years.

Things to note about Stone Harbor Emerging performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stone Harbor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Stone Harbor Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 93.33% of its assets in bonds
Evaluating Stone Harbor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Stone Harbor's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Stone Harbor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Stone Harbor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Stone Harbor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Stone Harbor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Stone Harbor's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Stone Harbor's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Stone Harbor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Stone Harbor's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Stone Harbor's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Stone Mutual Fund

Stone Harbor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stone with respect to the benefits of owning Stone Harbor security.
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